Not much separates these teams, but that doesn’t mean we won’t try to find an edge. So, let’s get started.

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats — Saturday, November 8 at 3:00 p.m. EST

The Alouettes head into the East Final with some momentum coming off a 42-33 win over Winnipeg last week in Montreal. Now they arrive in Hamilton to take on the Tiger-Cats, who won the East by just two points. 

Montreal lost in their regular-season finale to Winnipeg, but that game didn’t mean anything to them standings-wise. If you exclude that game, the Alouettes haven’t lost a meaningful game since September 6, when they fell 26-9 to the Tiger-Cats at Percival Molson. 

Now, before we say “advantage Hamilton,” it should be noted that James Morgan was the starting quarterback for Montreal that day, and they were in the midst of an injury crisis at the sport’s most important position. 

That doesn’t mean we just throw the game out entirely, though, as Greg Bell ran 20 times for 156 yards and a score, helping Hamilton to the win. Montreal finished the season in the bottom half of the league in rush yards allowed, but that game was the last time they allowed a 100-yard rusher. 

This is such a fascinating matchup because you can do that for most of the stats that we look at. For each point in favour of one side, you can come up with a perfectly reasonable counterpoint for the other side.

Hamilton won both games they played against Montreal this year, but Davis Alexander didn’t play in either of them. The last time Alexander faced Hamilton was in 2024, when the Ticats were still two weeks away from bringing in Chris Jones to fix their defence. As we’ve seen this week, a lot can change very quickly in the Canadian Football League. 

The one consistent matchup between these two this year has been Bo Levi Mitchell against this Montreal defence, and that will be a big one again this weekend. The East finalist for the George Reed Most Outstanding Player award played in both games against the Alouettes this year, averaging 219 yards passing. Montreal is one of two teams that didn’t allow a 300-yard passing game to Mitchell this season. 

The veteran QB led the league in passing yards, while Montreal’s defence allowed the fewest passing yards this season. This is the unstoppable force meeting the immovable object that will likely decide who will be representing the East next week in the Grey Cup. 

Another potential X-Factor is Alexander, who was excellent last week against Winnipeg in the East Semi-Final. He threw for 384 yards and a TD in their wild 42-33 win. The young QB showed the levels his talent can get to as Winnipeg made a strong comeback attempt in the second half of that game. Meanwhile, Hamilton was in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed this year. 

In the run game, Stevie Scott III also went off for 133 yards and two TDs on 18 carries against Winnipeg last week. The RB out of Indiana had a couple of big moments during the year, but this was certainly his biggest game in the CFL. Hamilton’s defence was vulnerable on the ground this year, giving up 111 yards per game. Asking Scott to have back-to-back career games in the playoffs is a big request, but if he can keep Montreal from being one-dimensional, that would be huge for them. 

Aside from those aspects, not much separates these two teams statistically. They both have positive turnover ratios, they both have QBs who can come up with big plays, and they are the top two defences in the league at limiting big plays. Hamilton has home-field advantage, but no team in the CFL won more road games this year than Montreal. 

All signs point towards an excellent game, one that will no doubt produce a worthy challenger for the Grey Cup. In the end, I trust Montreal’s defence to get a couple more stops against Mitchell and the Ticats’ offence. 

PICK: Montreal -3, Stevie Scott III OVER 38.5 Rush yards, Greg Bell OVER 61.5 rush yards

Courtesy: Electric Umbrella/Liam Richards/Saskatchewan Roughriders

B.C. Lions at Saskatchewan Roughriders — Saturday, November 8 at 6:30 p.m. EST

The B.C. Lions are playing their best football at the right time as they head into Regina for the West Final against the Roughriders. 

The Lions won six in a row to close out the regular season, earning homefield advantage for the West Semi-Final, where they won a classic against Calgary. 

Meanwhile, Saskatchewan looks to avoid the trap that many other top teams have fallen into before. The Riders haven’t played a meaningful game since they beat Toronto in Week 19 to wrap up the West. They finished with the best record in the league, but the number one overall seed in the CFL hasn’t won the Grey Cup since Winnipeg in 2021. They haven’t even made the Grey Cup in the last two seasons. 

Whether Corey Mace and company were able to stay sharp over the last month remains to be seen, but they certainly accomplished their goal of getting to this game with a healthy roster. Apart from Shane Ray, Ajou Ajou, and KeeSean Johnson, Saskatchewan will have all their top players at their disposal. The Riders, like most teams, have had injury problems all year, but they look like they are healthy for the biggest games of the year. 

The Riders come into this game as one of the most complete teams in the CFL. They are second in both net offence and opponent net offence allowed. They were fourth in the league in passing yards and fourth in rushing yards. For the second year in a row, they were the best run defence in the league. But, this is where things get worrisome for Rider Nation: Saskatchewan gave up the second-most passing yards in the league, with only Edmonton allowing more. 

There is some noise in that, as the Riders were up in a lot of their games, and that tends to lead to a more pass-happy attack by your opposition. Nonetheless, that is not a category you want to struggle in when facing Nathan Rourke. The Canadian QB was excellent all season long, finishing a close second to Bo Levi Mitchell in the passing race. 

The Lions’ QB finished the season with three straight games of 330+ pass yards, throwing eight TDs in those games compared to four INTs. He had two big games against the Riders this year, averaging 352.5 yards with six TDs and two INTs. The good news for the Green and White is that Saskatchewan won the first of the two matchups, and they were resting their stars for most of the second. 

Meanwhile, the Lions’ pass defence has been very strong this season. B.C. gave up the third-fewest passing yards in the league, but they did struggle against former Lion Vernon Adams Jr. last week, giving up 334 yards and a pair of TDs.  They only faced Trevor Harris for 1.5 games this year, and they seemed to have some issues with the Saskatchewan pivot. Harris threw for 395 yards and three TDs in their Week 7 win over B.C., and closed the season going 10-of-11 against the Lions with 112 yards before being pulled in an effort to keep him healthy. 

Harris was his usual solid self all season long. He threw for over 340 yards in each of the last three games that he played from start to finish. While he is someone who relies a lot on timing and rhythm, I also believe the 39-year-old QB will benefit greatly from having the last couple of weeks off. 

As mentioned above, the Lions’ pass defence has been a strength throughout the season, but they’ve slipped on some banana peels lately. Excluding the Week 21 game against Saskatchewan, B.C. has allowed 280+ pass yards in four of its last six games. Lions fans would counter with the fact that, in that time, they’ve also forced nine interceptions. If Harris needs to get back into game form after the bye week, then the Lions could pounce. On the other side, if Harris is his normal self, then it could be a long day for the Lions’ defence. 

One area where Saskatchewan could attack B.C. is on the ground, where the Lions allowed the third most yards this year. A.J. Ouellette added to those struggles in the two full games he played against them, averaging 105.5 yards per game with one rushing and one receiving TD. Ouellette was a bright spot for Saskatchewan all season long, finishing second in the league in rushing. He will be crucial to keeping the Riders’ attack balanced against a Lions defence that can take advantage of any weak spots you may have. 

The nerdy part of me is interested in what happens on first down in this game. The Lions averaged 8.5 yards per play on first down this year. If they can keep it in second and short all game, that forces Saskatchewan’s pass rush to ease up a bit. Rourke is excellent on obvious passing downs as well, but it gives the Riders a much better shot if they can make things somewhat predictable against one of the most electric players in the CFL.

On the opposite end, Saskatchewan had the worst average gain on first down of all the playoff teams. They got a bit more creative on first down as the year went on, but they are going to have to avoid too many second-and-seven situations against Mathieu Betts and the Lions’ pass rush, which sacked the most QBs in the league this year. 

Much like the East Final, the West champion should be crowned in a game that goes down to the wire. That’s a spot Saskatchewan is familiar with, as nine of their 12 wins were decided in the last three minutes this season. In the end, I expect the Riders’ pass rush to be just too much for the Lions to overcome.

PICK: Saskatchewan -3.5, Trevor Harris UNDER 270.5 passing yards, AJ Ouellette OVER 84.5 rush yards

The post 3DownNation CFL East & West Final predictions: best bets for Alouettes at Ticats, Lions at Riders appeared first on 3DownNation.

For the Chiefs, the game marks a deciding moment in their dynasty, as they look to become the first NFL team to three-peat as champions post-merger. Meanwhile, the Eagles are hoping to avenge their loss to this same Kansas City squad two years ago and earn the second Lombardi Trophy.

The Super Bowl is the biggest spectacle in all of sports, with stars galore on and off the field. While Canadian viewers may miss out on some of the glitz and glamour without access to American commercials, bettors in Ontario can still feel like they are a part of the action by taking advantage of a few intriguing props with connections north of the border.

Travis Kelce – Receiving Yards (O/U 60.5)

Making his fifth career Super Bowl appearance, Taylor Swift’s boyfriend is still two championship berths shy of what his close friend Zach Collaros has accomplished in the CFL. However, Kelce can surpass his former roommate’s total ofrings if he completes the three-peat — something the Winnipeg Blue Bombers failed to do.

At 35 years old, the future Hall of Fame tight end isn’t the dominant force he once was and settled for career lows in receiving yards and touchdowns this year. He wasn’t much of a factor in the AFC Championship either, but Super Bowl Kelce is a different animal. The world’s most famous jabroni has 31 catches for 350 yards and two touchdowns in the big game alone, always turning it on when it matters most. Even though Philly has only allowed two tight ends to surpass 60 yards this season, I expect Kelce to get the job done.

Jalen Hurts – Passing + Rushing Yards (O/U 253.5)

Hurts has been criticized for having a down year in 2024, averaging just 193.5 yards through the air and 42 yards along the ground per game. He hasn’t needed to be the driving force of the offence with Saquon Barkley running like a mad man, but his four touchdown outing in the NFC Championship proved he is still a big game player. Remember, this is the guy who threw for 304 yards and rushed for another 70 yards in his first Super Bowl against the Chiefs and still lost.

Eagles’ QB coach Doug Nussmeier was a backup for the B.C. Lions when Damon Allen threw for 234 yards and rushed for 39 with two touchdowns in the 2000 Grey Cup, putting up those numbers despite an outstanding rushing attack. His current charge will have to be even better than that to win this game and could still put up outstanding numbers in a loss.

Longest Field Goal Made Yards (O/U 47.5)

Both kicking units have tenuous Canadian connections, with Chiefs’ assistant special teams coach Andy Hill had a cup of coffee with the Calgary Stampeders and Eagles’ special teams coordinator Michael Clay was college roommates with recently retired CFL linebacker Bo Lokombo. The possibility of a close game means that everything could be decided by a field goal but I just don’t see any kicks coming from distance.

Jake Elliott has been shaky this season for Philly, hitting on just one of seven attempts from outside of 50. Harrison Butker has had his challenges with the KC as well, missing time due to injury and attempting just nine kicks outside of 40 all year. With two high-powered offences sensing the need to pile on the points, I think we’ll see a lot of drives finishing in the red zone and the kickers only trotting out when absolutely necessary.

DeAndre Hopkins – Receptions (O/U 1.5)

A crucial mid-season addition by the Chiefs, the five-time All-Pro gave a shoutout to his former college roommate, Garry Peters, this week. Ironically, the B.C. Lions’ cornerback has been an expert at eliminating receptions from the other team in his CFL career and Hopkins has had difficulty catching anything in the NFL playoffs, hauling in one pass for 11 yards through two games.

Kansas City’s offence is clearly looking elsewhere right now, with Xavier Worthy becoming the target du jour. Nevertheless, getting plus odds on a player of Hopkins’ calibre making just two catches is ridiculous value. The 32-year-old had at least that in ever regular-season game he played for the Chiefs and should manage it easily with the Eagles focused on stopping other threats.

Super Bowl MVP – Patrick Mahomes (+105)

As tempting as it might be to put down a loonie on the game’s lone Canadian, Sydney Brown, to win Super Bowl MVP at +100000 odds, special teams tackles or garbage time interceptions aren’t likely to bring home the hardware. Instead, the lamest and most preditable pick here is probably the correct one.

Love them or despise them, it is hard to bet against the Chiefs right. Head coach Andy Reid, general manager Brett Veach, and director of pro personnel Tim Terry — a former Grey Cup winner with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats — have built a dynastic template to rival the Patriots. And if Kansas City prevails, history has shown that Mahomes will win his fourth Pete Rozelle Trophy — whether he actually deserves it or not.

He probably didn’t the last time that the Chiefs beat the Eagles, with Hurts putting up far superior numbers, but Mahomes just wins. The son of a former Edmonton Trappers’ pitcher, he has already guaranteed himself a spot in the Hall of Fame and will challenge Tom Brady in the GOAT debate with another ring.

It is really too bad that the Super Bowl MVP isn’t gifted a car anymore or he, Kelce, and Hopkins could pile in for the CFL road-trip that the All-Pro QB wants to take.

The post Five Super Bowl LIX prop bets with Canadian connections appeared first on 3DownNation.

As the Ravens and Bills gear up for their highly anticipated divisional round clash on Sunday evening, now is the time to jump in and start placing your bets.

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Best bet for Ravens vs. Bills

The Bills and Ravens are set for what could be an epic playoff battle featuring two teams playing at the top of their game. With Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson leading their respective offences, this clash of elite dual-threat quarterbacks promises to be a back-and-forth showdown.

Both players have the ability to light up the scoreboard, creating the perfect setup for a high-scoring thriller where the point total seems almost assured of hitting the OVER.

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Best bet for Ravens vs. Bills

The Bills and Ravens have all the makings of a playoff classic, two teams playing their best football with some of the best elite dual-threat quarterbacks the game has ever seen.

It seems too obvious that Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson will go at each other and see who can match one another score for score. Regardless, we expect many points in this one, making no total point line safe.

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Best bet for Divisional Round Playoffs Rams vs. Eagles: Rams cover the spread

This is a matchup where the Rams have a great chance to pull off an upset and after what they did to the Vikings, we think the Rams will at least cover the spread.

With Matt Stafford at quarterback and weapons like Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp at his disposal, the Rams will keep this game close. Even if they get down early, watch as they mount a charge in the second half to either win it or make things very close. 

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Best bet for Divisional Round Playoffs — Rams vs. Eagles: LA pulls off the upset

Oftentimes, in playoff games, teams have to be closely matched in terms of talents to made it as far as they have. In those situations, the winner can come down to quarterback play.

Matt Stafford should be the key in this game, and he will outplay Jalen Hurts, leading to the Rams pulling off another upset and keeping their season alive.

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Best bet for Commanders vs. Lions

The Lions’ and Commanders’ offences are the best unit for each team. The two squads’ defences have been exposed at times this year, and while we like Detroit to win, we think this one is going to be a shootout. The Lion’s offence has been nearly unstoppable, and with elite weapons like Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and more, it won’t stop against Washington.

For the Commanders, Jayden Daniels has elevated the Washington offence this season and, at times, carried them. He will have some breathtaking plays against Detroit and lead some scoring drives. This will lead to the OVER for total points hitting, and it may go OVER by a lot.

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Best bet for Commanders vs. Lions

The Lions feel like a team of destiny and showed in Week 18 that they are peaking at the right time, destroying the Minnesota Vikings to earn the number one seed in the NFC. Adding to that is that the number one seed got Detroit a very important bye, helping them get some extra rest and recovery.

The Lions have gotten back some of their important defensive players in the last few weeks and may get a few more this week. The Commanders will keep this matchup close for a half, but they won’t be able to stop the Lions’ offence, leading to Detroit running away with it in the second half.

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Best bet for Texans vs. Chiefs

The Chiefs are favoured by over a touchdown over the Houston Texans. Most did not expect the Texans to get this far but not only did they upset the Chargers on Wild Card weekend, they dominated them. It may be time to look at the Texans differently and treat their matchup with the Chiefs as another potential upset.

We think the Texans will give the Chiefs everything they can handle and then some. This will be a four-quarter game, and the Texans will hold a lead during this game at some point. In the fourth quarter, though, we will see some classic Chiefs magic with Patrick Mahomes ensuring his team advances. It will be close, though, and that’s why we like the Texans to cover the spread. 

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Best bet for Texans vs. Chiefs

The Texans hung over 30 points on the Chargers last weekend, which surprised many. Don’t let it surprise you this weekend when the Texans’ offence continues to put up points against a good Chiefs defence. On the flip side, though, the Chiefs’ offence will enter playoff mode. That means Patrick Mahomes will get this offence humming, and they can score on anyone.

A point total in the low 40s for this game seems too low. The Texans are going to score and we still like the Chiefs to win, so that means this game could be a shootout. We see a score in the range of Chiefs 28 and Texans 21, which means the OVER hits easily. 

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